Saturday, 24 May 2014

REPATRIATION OF SOMALI REFUGEES


This will be a Survey Research and will collect information from the Daadab and Kakuma Refugee camps as well as Eastleigh area in Nairobi. The research will also collect data from experts in the area of asylum and refugee laws. It will also collect data from key informants in UNHCR, the Ministry of Foreign of Foreign Affairs – Kenya and Ministry of Foreign Affairs – Somalia. The Survey design was selected due to its strength in generating very accurate results and its high degree of reliability

ABSTRACT

Somalia has experienced the worst of civil strife and conflict in the East African region over the past two decades. This started in 1991 after the ouster of the then President Siad Barre. Since then Somalia has not had an effective central government. This coupled with a myriad of other challenges including climatic factors like drought and famine and seemingly never-ending conflicts has seen tens of thousands of Somalis flee across the borders to neighboring countries. In the recent past there have been talks to repatriate the Somali refugees as there seems to be relative calm that has returned to the country courtesy of the operations of the Kenya Defence Forces and AMISOM.
The question has been on how the repatriation is to be carried out. This research tries to find out how the repatriation program is to be carried out. It will also endeavour to investigate the challenges that may face the program. Are the refugees ready to be taken back home?  The research will seek expert opinion from the officials in charge of repatriation program. These will include the officials at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Kenya, the officials at the UNHCR and the Somali Somali Federal Government SFG. We will seek to find out the preparedness of the SFG on the refugees coming. We will also seek to find out and evaluate the forms of assistance that will be accorded the returnees both during their return to Somalia and when they are settling down.
The program is bound to have impacts on both Somalia as the refugees go back and on Kenya as the refugees leave. We will seek to investigate these impacts and measure them against actual outcomes. The refugees have been associated with rising insecurity in the host country; we will be interested to know whether their departure from the country guarantees ultimate security in the country. In essence the research will seek to evaluate the repatriation program in general and focus on the challenges, impacts and opportunities in particular.

 

INTRODUCTION

Somalia has experienced excessive amounts of political instability during the past two decades. Since President Mohammed Siyad Barre fled Somalia in January 27, 1991, Somalia descended into a state of anarchy. Conflicts and inter-clan rivalry became the order of the day. The conquest and ouster of the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) by Ethiopian forces and its reincarnation as the Al-Shabaab has moved the situation in Somalia from bad to worse. The establishment of a government has proved to be extremely difficult and Somalia has remained a lawless nation for a very long time. This and the never ending conflicts has seen thousands of Somalis free the country into the neighbouring countries.
The main host countries to the Somali Refugees have been Kenya and Ethiopia, with Kenya taking the bulk of the refugee population. This has come with its own impacts and consequences, the latest being a rise in insecurity in Kenya. The general impact that refugees have on the receiving state include, but is not limited to, internal conflict, introduction of politically based issues, socio-economic challenges, resource scarcity, infrastructure inaccessibility, criminal activity, environmental degradation, and militarization of camps. It has been argued that the refugee camps in Kenya mainly in Kakuma and Daadab refugee camps in North Eastern Kenya have been used as entry points and conduits for small arms and light weapons into the country. It has even been argued that the refugee camps have been used as recruitment points for the Al-Shabaab militia group that has terrorized the region over the past decade. In response, Kenya adopted an informal camp policy for refugees, restricting their movement to the limited confines of refugee camps that in most cases are located in the most remote, poor, hostile, and undesirable parts of the country.
These among other problems has seen the Kenyan Defence Forces and later the AMISOM peace keeping forces move into Somalia in a bid to return sanity, calm and stability in the troubled Horn of Africa country. Through the concerted efforts of the forces and the Somali citizens still in Somalia the Al-Shabaab militia group strongholds in Somalia have been captured and are now under the control of the Somali Federal Government (SFG) of Somalia. However, the peace keeping forces continue to keep vigil in the country to ultimately dismantle the militia group.
The incursion of Somalia by the Kenyan Defence Forces in late 2011 in an effort to drive out and neutralize the Al-Shabaab militia group has seen some normalcy return to the war-torn Horn of Africa Country. The capturing of Kismayu – the militia’s stronghold and the continued military operation under the AMISOM umbrella promises stability of the entire country in the near future. However, lasting peace and stability is yet to be realized in some parts of the country still under the control of the militia group. Nevertheless there have been numerous calls to repatriate the Somali refugees back to their homeland so that they can participate in the national reconstruction of their country and also build their economy.
The UNHCR (United Nations agency in charge of refugee affairs), the Kenyan government and the Somali Federal Government have signed a Tripartite Agreement that will see hundreds of thousands of Somali refugees who are in Kenya return home. However, there are misgivings about the stability of the country and the ability of the Somali Federal Government to offer security to its citizens once they are back home. The question is: Is Somalia stable enough to operate as an independent state once the refugees are back home? Another question that also comes up is on the methodology to be adopted in repatriation: How do you repatriate? Do you take everybody back home by force or do they voluntarily leave? What if they don’t want to go back?
The Tripartite Agreement stipulated very clearly that the repatriation was to be voluntary. Only those who were ready and willing to go back would be assisted to go back home. The feeling and sentiments on the ground however, indicate that very few of the refugees are ready to go home. They don’t believe there is enough peace, security and stability yet for them to go back home. How are the countries hosting the refugees going to deal with this problem?
It is against this background that we sought to find out whether the repatriation program was going to be carried out. And if it is carried out how would it be carried out? What would be the impacts of the repatriation program on the refugees themselves, the host country in this case – Kenya – and the Somalia Federal Government? What are the challenges and opportunities of the program?

STATEMENT OF THE RESEARCH PROBLEM

The UN Charter is quite elaborate on the issue of refugees seeking asylum in a host country. However, whether by default or design it remained silent on the issue of repatriation. Kenya is faced with a challenge in that the Somali refugee populations living within the country both within the refugee camps in North Eastern Kenya and the sparse Eastleigh suburb in Nairobi have been associated with rising insecurity in country. Consequently Kenya took it upon itself to ensure that peace and stability returned to the war-torn Horn of Africa country. A time has come when relative calm and peace has been realized in Somalia.
Kenya now wants the Somali refugees repatriated to their country. However, the feeling and the mood on the ground is different. Many Somali refugees are not ready to go back to Somalia. What will happen if none is ready to go back home? The research seeks to answer this question. What are the challenges and opportunities of the repatriation program as agreed upon in the Tripartite Agreement?

RESEARCH / STUDY OBJECTIVES

The general objective of the research will be:
a)      To find out the impacts of repatriation of Somali refugees back to Somalia.
The specific objectives for the study will be:
a)      To evaluate the procedure to be adopted in the repatriation process of Somali refugees.
b)      To identify the effects of repatriation of Somali refugees on Kenya as a host country.
c)      To find out the challenges of the repatriation process of Somali refugees back to Somalia.

LITERATURE REVIEW

Following the peace and stability that has been experienced in parts of Somalia in the recent past, the Kenyan government made a proposal to the UN Agency in charge of Refugees to help it in the repatriation of the Somali Refugees. The UN Agency having assessed the situation in Somalia, finally obliged to the repatriation proposal and a Tripartite Agreement was signed in November 2013. The Agreement was signed by Somalia, Kenya and United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. The Tripartite Agreement creates a framework for the voluntary repatriation of the refugees to Somalia. The agreement was signed on Sunday, November 10, 2013 by Kenya’s Foreign Secretary Amina Mohamed, Somalia’s Deputy Premier and Minister of foreign affairs Fowzia Yusuf Haji Aden and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. The repatriation plan is expected to take three years and a Tripartite Commission was formed and tasked with working on the logistics of moving the over 560,000 refugees from Kenya back to Somalia.
Signing of the agreement became possible after formation of the Federal Government of the Republic of Somalia in August 2012 that allowed for open dialogue to gradually find solutions to Somali displacement. Consolidating peace in Somalia is challenging and the situation in parts of the country remains fragile. The process, however, is moving in the right direction and there are positive signs paving the way for solutions to displacement.
The UN refugee agency UNHCR pledged to assist nearly half a million registered Somali refugees in Kenya who opt to return to their homeland. This raises a number of questions: What kind of assistance will the UNHCR be able to offer the returnees? Who would measure whether it would be enough? What parameters would be used to gauge the level of assistance offered? UNHCR representative in Kenya Raouf Mazou said his organization will lead the way in mobilizing resources to ensure the repatriation of refugees is successful. Mazou said that there are approximately 1 million Somali refugees in Kenya, Yemen, Egypt, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Tanzania and Uganda.
"There is need for additional resources to ensure that Somali state is fully restored so that the returnees can find a conducive environment to sustain livelihoods," he said.
A key principle of the 1951 Refugee Convention, of which Kenya is a signatory, known as non-refoulement forbids the involuntary return of refugees to a country where the threat of persecution persists. This raises a number of questions: What would happen if the Somali refugees are not ready to go back to Somalia? Who can determine whether the threat of persecution still persists or not? The Tripartite Agreement defines the roles and responsibilities of the three parties in accordance with international standards.
"Among other things, this means any refugee has the right to choose whether to go home, after they have been given information about conditions on the ground in Somalia so they can make an informed decision," Mazou added. "It also means returns should be conducted in safety and dignity."
"It's very important to underline that no one is forcing Somalis to leave Kenya. The government and people of Kenya have tirelessly provided protection and assistance to Somali refugees for two decades. The agreement we signed on Sunday November 10, 2013 does not mean Kenya is no longer willing to do so," he said in a statement issued in Nairobi. This can only mean that the agreement was not binding. It is also an appreciation that some Somali refugees may not be willing to go back to Somalia. Hence the question, why sign the agreement in the first place? Was it really in the best interest of the refugees or there is more than meets the eye?
WHY REPATRIATE?
Echoing the sentiments of the UNHCR Kenya Representative, if Kenya was still willing to offer protection and assistance to the Somali refugees, why then were there calls and proposals to repatriate them. A number of reasons have been fronted as to why there is an urgent need to repatriate the Somali refugees. While most government officials point to the security question, there are a few people especially civil society officials and international agencies employees who view the move as purely politically motivated.
According to Kenya’s deputy president – Hon. William Ruto -  who witnessed the signing of the tripartite agreement, Kenya presently hosts 610,000 documented refugees, out of which 520,000 are Somali living in designated refugee camps and various urban areas around the country. It is estimated that another 500,000 undocumented refugees reside in Kenya as well. According to Ruto, the sheer magnitude of documented and undocumented refugees has created an unprecedented security challenge for Kenya.
"Unfortunately, these challenges include terrorism, banditry as well as common criminals taking improper advantage of their refugee status," he said.
He noted that elements of the refugee population have also provided a conduit for the proliferation of small arms and light weapons in Kenya. The government has made it clear that the continued hosting of Somali refugees now comes at too high a cost given the spike in terror attacks on Kenya. Foreign Affairs Cabinet Secretary Amina Mohammed said that Kenya has sustained a disproportionate share of the Somali Refugee crisis.
"The government has found itself straining financially as it sacrifices to raise the budget required to keep the camps secure and the refugees catered for. In spite of this, we have remained excellent neighbors and hosts of our brothers and sisters from Somalia. We have fully assumed our international obligations with regard to the hosting and protection of refugees,” she said.
The question that comes to mind when this is said is; Will Kenya be secure once the Somali refugees go back home? And if the refugees are still associated with the cases of rising insecurity in the country, do they still enjoy that option of voluntarily choosing to go back to Somalia or will there be instances when some will be forced out of the country? Will this not be in contravention of the Geneva Convention on the Law of Asylum and refugees? 
The Foreign Affairs Cabinet Secretary said that Somalia is firmly in a post-conflict phase and the world has given its strongest indications ever that it will support its reconstruction. Somalia's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Fawzia Adam said that Somalia recognizes the huge financial burden that Kenya has shouldered as a result of hosting the refugees.
"We will therefore assist the refugees who return to Somalia so that they take part in nation building," she said.
Somalia’s Deputy Premier and Foreign Affairs Minister Fawzia Yusuf Adan said that the Somali Government has stabilized parts of the country, engaging refugees to return home and take part reconstructing their homeland. She added that the Federal Republic of Somalia is committed to creating conditions that will provide for the dignified repatriation of Somalia refugees from Kenya and other neighbouring countries.
“The government of Somalia recognizes the need for durable solutions for the refugees who are willing to return to Somalia to rebuild their lives. My government with the help of the international community shall put in place conditions conducive for the return of the refugees including administrative, judicial and security measures, to ensure the success of this exercises.”
However, despite the optimism of former Somali’s Deputy Premier the question of capacity of the Somali Government to offer what she is promised remains in the minds of many refugees. They are not sure the government is fully in control in Somalia. Many refugees still feel that Somalia is still unstable and insecure.
On her part Foreign Affairs Cabinet Secretary Amina Mohamed said discussions would continue adding that the two states have the best opportunity in two decades to work together to put Somalia’s past behind and help Somalis realize their long cherished dreams of a stable, united and peaceful nation.
“This is the beginning of a journey of hope, it’s the signal that we have been waiting for, it’s a signal that says that our brothers and sisters in Somalia are on track to full and effectively stabilize their country,” she said.
“Kenya needs a peaceful and secure neighbour… one that it can work with and develop this region. We are truly happy today that we are sending out that signal that normalcy is returning to Somalia,” Mohamed stated as she exuded confidence that the exercise will be successful.
On the other hand there are those that argue that the Tripartite Agreement is driven more by politics than by an assessment of the situation on the ground. It is a game of make-believe. Both governments are desperate for there to be peace in Somalia, but neither, despite their foreign financing and the support of 22,000 African Union troops, can defeat the rebel group Al-Shabaab. So instead, they focus on the cosmetics of peace – repatriation of the refugees. Britain, as a lead booster of the idea of peace in Somalia and vested in the outcome because of the London conferences, shares some of the blame for the forcing of the peace. The issue that then confronts us is what would be the impact of repatriating Somali refugees into a country that is still not stable and peaceful?
IMPACTS OF REPATRIATION OF SOMALI REFUGEES
There has been general consensus that the Al-Shabaab has not been wiped out of Somalia. They just moved from their strongholds and may actually be working underground. The spontaneous attacks in Mogadishu, Nairobi – Kenya, the refugee camps in Kenya among others are a confirmation that this militia group is still very active and alive. Can we then bury our heads in the sand and assume the AMISOM has conquered Somalia and the Al-Shabaab by extension.  The repatriation of the Somali refugees into an unstable country with most of the parts still under the militia group may actually work against the efforts the African Union has made to stabilize the country.
While Katelo (Kenya's commissioner for refugee affairs at the Ministry of State for Immigration and Registration of Persons) said the best solution was for the refugees to return home, he likened sending Somalis back after 20 years while their country remained insecure to "eating a whole cow but being unable to eat the tail". "The return we are talking about is not a forced return," he said. There should be measures put in place that will ensure that once the refugees are repatriated, they don’t end up being IDPs in their country. Have these or such measures been put in place?
If we look deeply the outcome after the refugees go back to their “Home Land” whatever the challenge is (Positive or Negative side), there is a hope that Somalia
POLITICAL IMPACTS
The failure to put measures in place to ensure the safe landing of refugees once back in Somalia on the one hand and employing tactics in the refugee camps to force the refugees back into Somalia on the other do not appear to go by the spirit of voluntary repatriation as agreed upon in the Tripartite Agreement.  To the refugees, living in the overcrowded, insecure and now, food-scarce camps, the double whammy of the ration cut plus the repatriation announcement seems like a conspiracy theory to force them back over the border. Donors have started making cuts on their provisions and have indicated that they will be making further cuts.
‘These camps are not safe and now you take away the only thing that is good? The food?’ An old man with one tooth and milky eyes wagged his finger at a WFP Worker. ‘We will go back to Somalia, and then we will return here, but when we return we will not be refugees, we will be Al-Shabaab and we will come for you.’ Such sentiments can only point to one thing and one thing only, that the security problem will not and cannot be solved by forcing back the Somali refugees into an unstable and insecure country. In fact this will be a good breeding ground for insecurity to rise in the region. The desperation of the returnees will provide a fertile ground for recruitment into the Al-Shabaab militia group. We can only take such sentiments lightly or ignore them to our own peril. Despite the increasing dangers and hardships of camp life, many of the refugees were not ready to return home.
"It is not safe there," said Muktar Ahmed, a 38-year-old resident of Ifo Camp. "Even though Dadaab is becoming insecure these days, we cannot choose to go to a more dangerous and battle-filled zone."
"I would not mind going back to my home country, but I don't want to be an internally displaced person (IDP)," said Farhan Mumin, a shopkeeper who has lived at Dadaab for two decades. "I will only go when the situation fully recovers.”
Kellie Leeson, deputy regional director for the International Rescue Committee said that it was a difficult situation when you have protracted refugee situations, especially where a clear resolution is not obvious and there’s no definitive end point. "Everybody agrees that a return to a safe and stable Somalia is the best long-term solution, but we don’t have that situation right now," she said.
Refugees are often viewed as a security threat to the host community. For example, the Turkana tribesmen accuse the Dinka (Sudanese ethnic group) in the Kakuma refugee camp of raping their women and cutting down trees. There have also been numerous cases of cattle rustling. Some locals further argue that they have been attacked during the night and had their cattle stolen. This perceived threat forces the locals to acquire illegal arms and thus sets conditions for terrorist groups to take advantage of the poor conditions at the camp to lure young men into their organizations.
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
While the High Court in January issued an injunction temporarily halting the relocation of refugees to camps, the psychological impact of the government’s directive has been devastating. It is akin to the “Quit Kenya” notices that were issued to Asians living in Nairobi in the 1960s, which led to a mass exodus of Asians from Kenya to Britain and other places. Eastleigh, a vibrant Somali-dominated neighbourhood where the shopping malls alone make an estimated $7 million (more than half a billion Kenyan shillings) a year, is slowly shutting down. Traders and shopkeepers are closing down their businesses and heading to Somalia.
Nairobi’s ethnic Somalis, like Kenya’s Asian community, are an entrepreneurial lot, who despite the poor infrastructure in Eastleigh, managed to create a local economy that is vibrant and globally connected to places such as the Middle East and China. Nairobi’s gross domestic product is deeply intertwined with that of Eastleigh. The dilemma facing Kenyan policymakers is how to deal with an urban refugee population that is an integral part of the country’s economy. The mass exodus of people and capital from Eastleigh could create the kind of economic stagnation and instability experienced by Uganda when Asians were expelled from the country in 1972 by Idi Amin’s regime.
SOCIO-CULTURAL IMPACTS
Increasing xenophobia among Kenyans, based on the perception that Somalis are taking over the economy, has also heightened tensions between Somali refugees and Kenyans. Reports indicate that the fear of persecution and physical harassment and bribe-taking by police have forced thousands of refugees to flee Nairobi. The refugees are not moving back to refugee camps based in remote, semi-arid parts of the country, but are heading back to Somalia.
A recent report by the Mogadishu-based Heritage Institute for Policy Studies (HIPS) think tank states that some 20,000 Somali refugees have voluntarily left Kenya since the repatriation call was made by Kenya’s Commissioner of the Department of Refugee Affairs last December. As a result, schools in Eastleigh are reporting reduced student numbers. A glut of empty apartments left behind by fleeing residents has also dramatically reduced rents in the area.
The unintended consequence of Kenyan police brutality is the deepening mistrust between them and Somali refugees. A majority of refugees interviewed by the think tank said that they would not cooperate with the police to identify terrorist suspects because they feared that the police would ask for “ransom” money. There are currently 33,537 Somali refugees registered in Nairobi, according to the report.
Forgetting and forgiving Siad Barre’s government aggression, Ethiopia decided to welcome hundreds of Somali refugees every day. Carrying the social, economic and environmental burden, the country allowed these refugees to build their huts near the graves of Ethiopian soldiers who sacrificed their lives during the invasion.
“We came to Ethiopia because it is our neighbor and more peaceful than Somalia at the moment,” says Abta Ali, 48, who traveled two days with eight children to reach Dollo Ado refugee transit center. “When we arrived, they gave us a meal prepared from rice, meat and potato.”
While the refugees receive international aid, the locals generally do not. This disparity causes an economic imbalance that has resulted in the host community being hostile and blaming its problems on the refugees. It also raises fundamental questions about human rights and equality, since the refugees, who receive free shelter, food, firewood, and health care, have better conditions than their hosts.
At the Kakuma refugee camp, refugees often have more opportunities for education than the locals. The refugees can go to local schools or they can attend one of the many schools in the refugee camp. However, the locals are not allowed to attend the schools in refugee camps. The host community suffers from poor quality education as compared to the refugees in refugee camps, since the refugees can access better teachers who, in most cases, come from urban areas or from foreign countries.
At the Kakuma refugee camp, job competition is intense because NGOs tend to hire refugees, who work for less than the locals. This disparity in employment opportunities causes additional tension between refugees and the host communities.

Methodology
This will be a Survey Research and will collect information from the Daadab and Kakuma Refugee camps as well as Eastleigh area in Nairobi. The research will also collect data from experts in the area of asylum and refugee laws. It will also collect data from key informants in UNHCR, the Ministry of Foreign of Foreign Affairs – Kenya and Ministry of Foreign Affairs – Somalia. The Survey design was selected due to its strength in generating very accurate results and its high degree of reliability.
For the data collection in the refugee camps and Eastleigh area in Nairobi, the research will adopt the Systematic random sampling design. This is a probability sampling technique and will allow the researchers to draw a sample of subjects who are willing to go back to Somalia (50%) and those who not willing to go back to Somalia (50%). This will help us to correlate the results and draw our conclusions. The study will target a total of 150 refugees in the three study sites with 75 subjects being those who are willing to go back to Somalia and the other 75 subjects being those not willing.
Data will be collected using structured questionnaires for the refugees and structured interviews will be used for the expert informants and key informants in the Ministries and UNHCR. The questionnaires are a faster and easier way to collect data from a large sample. The questionnaires will be administered and filled on the spot. Key informant interviews and in-depth interview are appropriate methods to gather data on a certain phenomenon or subject. These will used conducted at the experts’ convenience as well as the officials in the Ministries and UNHCR. The interviews will be recorded and transcribed by the researchers immediately after to capture all the information.
The data collected from the refugees will be sort into schemas, categories and patterns. It will then be coded and entered into the SPSS software which will be used to analyze the data. It will then be presented in form tables, charts, frequencies and percentages. The key informant and in-depth interviews will be sort into patterns and categories and interpreted. The interpretations will be made in a narrative format.


SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATION
Repatriating the refugees to their countries of origin could be a lasting solution; however, the conditions in Somalia that made them seek refuge still prevail, and many refugees would not want to go back. Therefore, an enduring solution is to empower the population around the camps to mitigate the effects of harsh weather and to reduce the perception that the "intruders" benefit from better facilities and resources. The most certain and long-term solution is to resolve the Somalia conflict and create an elected government that is acceptable to all Somalis.
As the Tripartite Agreement states, the return to Somalia should be voluntary. It should not forced in any way or induced and coerced through tactics and strategies employed by the host government. While there may be problems associated with the presence of refugees in host countries, we should be careful not to exacerbate the problems by sending the refugees back into an unstable country. It will work against all the efforts that and milestones that have been covered so far in a bid to restore sanity, peace, security and stability in the war torn country. A desperate returnee would be more than willing to join the enemy rather than suffer due to the fact the government can offer him the security he so desires. This will ensure that the vicious cycle of violence continues unabated.
The question of assistance to be offered to the returnees also needs to be evaluated soberly. What   assistance will be enough? What kind of assistance will it be? Somalia is made up of people with different forms of economic activities. The assistance you may offer a pastoralist to rebuild his life maybe different to the assistance you offer a farmer. Is the assistance for reconstruction varied or is it a case of “One size fits all approach?” This will also come into play in determining whether the returnee is able to settle down or continues suffering in the pretext of being repatriated.
While the conditions in places of origin may not yet be fully conducive for returns, there has been a growing interest among IDPs to return to their homelands, often prompted by factors such as overcrowding in IDP settlements, difficulties in accessing socio-economic activities in places of displacement, and more recently, the success of military interventions in liberating some areas previously under the control of insurgents. It is anticipated that 100,000 IDP households may want to return to their area of origin in 2013.UNHCR envisages providing return/reintegration packages to help increase the resilience of IDPs and mitigate the risks associated with spontaneous return.


Thursday, 21 November 2013

Lethal Battle in lower shabelle KM 50

At least 15 people were reportedly killed and 25 others were wounded in a fierce fighting in the outskirts of KM50 in Lower Shabelle. 

Somali media reported the conflict is between rival clans within the Somali Armed Forces. A report on Somali National shown Elders from Biyamaal Clan including a Colonel from Somali National Army stating the conflict is result of "land grab" by another clan using SNA.

Furthermore, the Elders in Baydhabo conference condemned the conflict as attached led by General Indha Ade, but he vehemently denies the allegations.

Witnesses who Siyaasi post spoked to said they were really worried as Somali Armed Forces attacked the area with heavy machine guns killing a number of civilians and injuring more including Somali government officials based in the KM50 area. 

“Government troops led by the head of Somali military based in Lower Shabelle attacked the area and killed a lot of people including civilians “ Sources said. “They attacked other government troops based in KM50 because of a clan dispute” added the official.

The infighting between the armed forces is a reoccurring event which ravages people’s lives and leads to disastrous results. Somalis whom we spoke to complained of the undisciplined behavior of soldiers who participate in these fightings, labeling them as no different than highway robbers and bandits.

Clan pride and the culture of taking revenge against any member of the perpetrator's clan (i.e., collective punishment) are not only causes of traditional clan wars but the cause of the recent civil war. For some theorists, pride or prestige is considered a type of resource, albeit not a quantifiable one. There are numerous examples that show how clan pride motivated conflicts.

Clan pride causes conflicts between clans when a member of a clan kills another person. The clan of the victim often takes such an act as an injury to its pride and takes revenge. Besides competition for resources and/or power, there are many examples where a war began between two clans because of a perceived injury to clan pride and the collective punishment that followed it.

Somalia’s Prime Minister Abdi Farah Shirdon has called on warring sides in KM-50 in Lower Shabelle region to immediately cease the hostilities.

The Prime Minister said in a statement from his office in Mogadishu that the continuation of the fighting is “unfortunate” which claimed the lives of more than 20 people.

He called on all sides to solve their differences through negotiations as he sent his condolences to the families that lost their loved ones to the fighting.

The government warned of the negative impacts that the skirmishes might have on the government’s efforts to drive out Al Shabaab fighters from the rest of the region.

His Excellency President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud today called on all parties to refrain from violent activities in Middle Shabelle, southern Somalia.

Updating Somali citizens about the situation in the Middle Shabelle during a press conference in Villa Somalia, the President said the Commander of the Somali National Army intervened with his forces to stabilize the area affected by the recent conflict. The Somali army also returned displaced citizens to their villages.

“They’re now safe and the immediate situation has been defused,” said the President. “The Government of Somalia is convening a reconciliation process, and so far elders and civil society are playing their role and are assisting the government in resolving the issues. The fighting must stop. I call on all parties to completely refrain from violence.

Lower Shabelle Elders show doubts the impartiality of committee of ministers appointed by prime minister. The head of the committee, Minister of Justice Abullahi Abyan Nur, was quoted in Hiiraan Online stating, "they succeeded to return warring parties to their bases." He concludes, we will issues final report on who initiated the conflict.

All this comes amidst of leadership crises at the top of Somali Federal government.

Hashim Sheikh Abdinoor

SP, Nairobi, Kenya

Saturday, 26 October 2013

Somalia Elect First Female President 2016

Imagine you wake up on December 13, 2016. You open a web browser, or pick up your journal, or turn on TV/Radio to get your daily news fix. To your delight the headline reads, “Progress in Africa”. Curios, you dig in. The subtitle reads: “Somalia Makes Positive History by Electing First Female President in East Africa and Second in All of Africa”.

Now, you sit back and sib your tea/coffee. Take in this news. I know, your self-doubt is saying, “this is just wishful thinking”, but I can also hear your ambition rising up to see the possibility. Keep this image in mind. Come along. Read with me.

Vote Female Somali President,
Not for women’s right but for human rights for all,
Not for equality but for prosperity,
Not for it is a way to secure donor funds but a way to secure our future;

We tested testosterone driven,
Chauvinist tempered,
It is time to put a woman on top,
To tame wild social norms,
So deeply woven into culture based on Jungle Laws,

Asadist (Lion) political culture,
Battle for power,
Victor savors the spoils,
Looser limps into the sunset following the faith of his predecessor,
For it was not long when he clawed to the top,
He killed his father now he languishes in same agony,
The youngster knows the cycle will repeat;

As young the brothers run into the jungle,
As men they took revenge now,
It is their sisters and matriarch that batch,
It is the foundation, only continuity,
Without sisters the gene would be annihilated;

As the scars heal,
In the jungle as under city lights,
As blood dries on busy roads,
It is mothers, sisters, aunts, and grandmothers that lick the wounds,
Heal the souls,
Help the weak,
Hold the household together;

Political Entrepreneurs,
Pursue powers as means to an end,
Brinkmanship plagues their policies,
Putting a woman on top will take the pain away,
Before tomorrow is here,
Begin actions today,
Beat the path for the First Female.

Bringing nation back from abyss,
Requires responsibility,
Responsive servants,
They hold all family houses together,
Put them in charge of the whole house.

Not for women’s rights,
But for human rights,
Not for treating woman equally,
But preserving our future,
Not empowering women,
But putting woman in power at the top;

“Whether you think you can, or you think you can't--you're right” (Hennery Ford).
Yes, we can.
First Female will be elected President in 2016. Make your imagination a reality. Join with Lost Generation to act and make this dream – a reality.

Inspiration behind Renaissance Alliance for Somalia:

The above was inspired by my sister, Shamso Mohamed Gutale’s paper (title) and Nicholas Kristoff blog, “Twitter, Woman & Power”. Their writings colored me curios and forced me to dig deep and see the prospect of renaissance cultural movement higher proportion and more advanced than that of 14th-17th century Europe. Lost
Generation (LG) – Somali boys and girls between ages of 12 and 42 who know nothing but conflict, chaos, killing, refugee camps, gette and low-income housing – leadership team solemnly believes Women are the saviors of our future.

LG leadership welcomes your comments and feedback as well as your interest to join this movement. It is never too late to take back your future. Putting Woman on top is not an option, it is the only ONE.

Reserve your seat today.
By A.Gutale

Saturday, 12 October 2013

It is a matter of death and life. You action makes the difference.

It is a matter of death and life. You action makes the difference.

Many of us are blessed with the security of shelter that keeps us war, food on our tables, seen our children dress up, sometimes by force, and walk to school buses, we dress up and drive/ride to our offices, and some of us have social safety network through government public services to fall back - in case of emergencies. I want you to consider all the above nicam (blessings) as you read the below quote. This is not criticism of Somali Government, it is not to point finger of blame, it is to UNDERLINE ugly truth that underscores unjust system that if not stopped with continue "cycle of conflict and hopelessness.

"...hurdao iima jirto dowlada waxaa ay iu sameysay xad gudub waxaa ay iigu han jabeen dil iyo jirdil hadii aan xuquuqdeyda ka hadlo waxaa la igu heysaa dhul aan daganahay ayey leeyihiin waa sharci daro waan mid ka fog xaqiiqda o waa waxa kaliya aan hanti ka heyso waana sharci markaan dhahay maxkada aaan diyaar u ahay in aan ku gar baxo waa la ii han jabay" (if you cant read ask someone to translate for you).

In our lives there are few opportunities to stand up for something we believe. If you are Somali. If you believe in doing good. If you always wanted a cause to act. This is it.

The above words are from a real person, with families, who does not have all the blessings you do. TAKE ACTION NOW.

1) Call a Parliament Member and ask to speak against forcefull removal and threats against civilians,
2) Call a Minister or other government officials,
3) Call the Somali media in your city, state, or country,
4) Share this post with other,

Injustice flourishes only with the silence of good willed people who think the next person will act.

If you are Somali patriot, a just Muslim, a human with conscious respond to this post. ACT NOW with SENSE OF URGENCY!

Please help those who can’t help themselves, please share, please share for the sake of the weak
Thank you.

Thursday, 29 August 2013

Hereby the Parties Decide and Agree: Juba Delegation and Federal Government of Somalia

                         Hereby the Parties Decide and Agree:


ARTICLE ONE
Establishment of an Interim Administration

1. The Federal Government of Somalia and the Jubba delegations have agreed on to an Interim Administration for Jubba, consisting of Gedo, Lower Jubba and Middle Jubba Regions without prejudice to whatever the people of these regions decide finally as a result of constitutional process. This Interim Administration shall be called the Interim Jubba Administration.

2. The duration of the Interim Administration shall be a period of not more than 2 years, during which – and subject to the constitutional process – a permanent Federal Member State will be established.

3. Through a consultative process, the parties of this agreement shall work together in completing the remaining part of the administration without prejudice to the provisional federal constitution of Somalia.

4. The Interim Jubba Administration shall be constituted of an Executive Council and a Regional Assembly.

5. The head of the Interim Jubba Administration shall be the Leader of the three regions of lower Jubba, middle Jubba and Gedo and also the Chairperson of the Executive Council and shall be accountable to the Federal Government of Somalia.

6. The Leader shall have three deputies appointed by the Leader in consultation with Somali Federal Government and they will also become members of the executive council.

7. The Executive Council shall be the executive organ of the Interim Administration, and whose members will be appointed by the Leader with consultation and coordination with the Federal Government. The Federal Government shall have responsibility to assure inclusivity.

8. The Regional Assembly should be an all inclusive and representative body of all clans and constituencies and selected by the traditional elders with seats been distributed proportionally among the districts of the three regions in full consideration of inclusivity, balance and in reconciliatory manner. The rules and regulations governing this Interim Administration shall be consistent with the Provisional Constitution of the FRS and approved by the Federal Parliament.

9. While the local Government Act takes into effect, the Governors of lower Jubba and Middle Jubba Regions shall be appointed by the Leader based on quota basis ensuring inclusiveness in consultation with local elders and Federal Government of Somalia. The current Gedo administration will remain as it is for now.

ARTICLE TWO
On the Management of Federal Institutions and Infrastructure

10.  The Federal Institutions and Infrastructure, including the Kismayo Airport and Kismayo Seaport and other institutions shall be recognized as the assets and commonwealth of the people of Somalia.

11. That the Kismayo Airport and Kismayo Seaport shall be utilized in a manner that is beneficial to the peace and prosperity of the people of Somalia under the leadership and management of the Federal Government of Somalia.

12. The Kismayo Sea Port and Air Port Management shall be handed-over to the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) in 6 months period; after which the Federal Government of Somalia shall appoint a competent management team in consultation with the Interim Jubba Administration meanwhile the current management of port prevails for the next 6 months. The Federal Government of Somalia will appoint immigration officers to all entry points.

13. The revenues and other resources generated and accruing from the Kismayo Airport and Kismayo Seaport shall be managed in a prudent, transparent and accountable manner.

14. The revenues and other resources generated and accruing from the Kismayo Airport and Seaport shall be exclusively utilized, invested and disbursed on the priorities of security, service delivery and institutional building of the Jubbas.

15. This interim arrangement shall continue until there is final agreement on revenue sharing in the country as per the constitutional process.


ARTICLE THREE
On the Management of Security Forces and Militias Integration

16. That all security elements, including, RasKanboni Brigade (RBK), the Darwish and any other militias shall be integrated into the central command of the Somalia National Army (SNA); and the regional police will be under the command of the Interim Juba Administration.

17.  The Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and the established Interim Jubba Administration shall jointly establish a Technical Security Committee that will agree on modalities and timetable for the integration of all security elements. The Technical Committee will also be responsible to undertake Security Reform.

18. Integration of the militias in to the Somali National Army will also be implemented within recommended specific timeline by a Technical Committee comprising the FGS, and the Interim Jubba Administration, in close coordination with AMISOM.

19. The Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) shall, under the planned reintegration program, give priority to the Jubba Administration so that combatants, particularly lower-level Alshabab fighters in the regions can disengage from combat and return to civilian life in their home communities.

ARTICLE FOUR
On Reconciliation and Confidence-Building

20. The Federal Government of Somalia shall organize and convene, within two weeks a Reconciliation Conference in Mogadishu. A follow-up peace building conference will also be held in Kismayo.

21. Mogadishu Reconciliation Conference will be a consultation mechanism on the process of completing the formation of the interim administration and peace building.

22. During the Mogadishu Reconciliation Conference, modalities of development of the roadmap for the establishment federal member state will be agreed upon.


23. The Government of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia as chair of IGAD shall be the guarantor of this agreement.

Wednesday, 28 August 2013

AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OF SOMALIA AND JUBBA DELEGATION

An agreement had been reached by the Somalia Federal Government and Jubaland Administration in Addis Ababa today after lengthy talks facilitated by Ethiopia. The finalized agreement on the nature, name and structure of the federal state in the south of Somalia will be signed tomorrow.

Since Somali government opposed the result of the process in which Jubaland people elected the president and vice-president on May 15, 2013, Somali people interested peaceful solution of the impasse were waiting the recommendation by the IGAD technical committees who met both the government representatives in Mogadishu and Jubaland official and the opposition group in Kismayo.

First, in term constitutionality of the process in which Jubaland 500 elders elected president, committees found both groups’ claims were based on different interpretations of the constitution since the provisional constitution did not define properly how to go by forming regional states.
Committees did not find faulty in either claims by Government officials reasoning on why the process was not constitutional nor did they find incorrect in the reasoning by the Jubaland official of the constitutionality of their process since there were a lope holes in the provisional federal constitution of Somalia. As result, committees urged both the government officials and parliament to clarify those articles relating to formation of the regional administration and the government’s role.

Second in term of inclusiveness in the process, the committee found that the major clans in Jubaland state participated in the process but some minority group were missing from the scene and urged the government to take a leadership role in reconciliation process to insure the process is inclusive.
However, Jubaland officials insisted the process was inclusive and is open to be included anyone willing to participate peacefully and will insure the minority group will be included to be members of both parliament and ministerial positions being elected in coming weeks.

Finally, in term of government taking leadership role in the process, IGAD committees found that the government did not participate in the process of forming regional administration even though they were invited several time and Jubaland official is still offering government to participate in the process and to take its role.
As result, IGAD committees recommended that since Jubaland officials acknowledged the need of the government’s leadership role in the process, IGAD official is calling on all Jubaland stakeholders to participate reconciliation meeting being planned to be held in Mogadishu by Somali federal government to find final solution through dialogue.
It was reported that Jubaland officials accepted all the recommendation by the IGAD committees including participating conference in which Somali Federal Government is being planned to be held in Mogadishu to come up solution in which Government would take its leadership role.

IGAD government members and international communities are aware that after over 20 years in conflict in Somalia, the only solution forward to attaining lasting solution in Somalia is through dialogue among Somali stakeholders led by the government official based on the provisional constitution.
It hard to understand that why now President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Prime Minister Abdi Farah Shirdon, after obtaining recognition and financial aid by the international community, seem to want solve any issue though their own interpretation of the provisional constitution of Somalia where even few days ago, President called on Somaliland that it is a time to come to Mogadishu and unite rest of Somalia seemingly forgetting the on-going negotiation between Somalia and Somaliland in order to reach final solution.

It is known by all that Somali people will no longer accept any governor sent from Mogadishu to run their affairs and Somali people expect the government to implement provisional constitution and encourage any two or more regions trying to form regional administration. IGAD and Aminson
troops committed to support Somali government to implement national stabilization plan through serious dialogue among all stakeholders.


All in all the voices of Somali people have been heard and Somalia’s leaders have reached an agreement. First, I want to congratulate both negotiating teams for their extraordinary service and their determination to reach a compromise that is acceptable to all sides. The people of Somalia everywhere should be thankful for this agreement. I always believed that we are capable overcoming our problems and putting the interest of Somalia ahead of the interest of clan or personal. Now that both the federal government and Jubaland administration have made serious commitment, we Somali people must help them to make it work. I want to thank the Ethiopia government, IGAD and the international community for their role of making this peace agreement possible.
                                                            
                                                           Peace Guul Somalia.

Tuesday, 27 August 2013

Is it the right time to sign Oil deal?


The signing of the new Somali government’s first oil contract with an untested company linked to a British peer raises concerns about whether the dash for oil wealth will destabilise the east African country. but is it the right time for the government to sign the deal?

Michael Howard, the former leader of Britain’s Conservative party, has spearheaded the first oil deal with the new government of Somalia, a country destroyed by two decades of civil war, piracy and terrorism.

In May both Mr Abdirizak and President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud said they would not sign any oil deals until the petroleum bill and the new constitution were made compatible, but they have now abandoned that stance. “We realised we had to take a different approach,” said
Mr Abdirizak

There has been a recent influx of oil companies to Somalia, but the country has been offered only a 7% share of the proceeds from the exploitation of its oil.
This problem was foreshadowed by the former Somali President Mohamed Siad Bare, who famously said: "I will never sell my oil for 5%, or even for 10%, as long as Somalia is not getting the best deal."
 Late last year, Somalia caught the attention of foreign oil companies by announcing it intended to auction some of 308 newly delineated oil blocks this year.

The world’s leading oil companies are increasingly accepting that their quest for new reserves will take them into challenging new territory. In regions such as the Arctic, the problems are technical

Attempts to carve up oil blocks before the Mogadishu government even controls the whole national territory are undermining efforts to bring peace and stability to a state that has been shattered by 22 years of war and that exports terrorism. The race to lay claim to resources risks triggering wider conflicts: regional authorities have been hostile to central government since the 22-year military dictatorship of Siad Barre. When he was deposed in 1991, warlords carved up the country – and several clan-based militias still hold sway, sometimes cutting deals with al-Shabaab.

The danger is that the race for oil will feed a destabilising rivalry between Mogadishu and other regions – some still influenced by former warlords – just as the international community is celebrating progress. UK ambassador Matt Baugh says the situation remains “very, very fragile”. Rival administrations have issued several companies rights to a clutch of overlapping oil blocks, redrawing the political map of Somalia in line with their own interests.

The federal system combining shared rule and self-rule is also reflected in the draft Provisional Constitution provisions on land and natural resources. The regulation of natural resources and their use is subject to negotiations between the Federal Government and the Federal Member
State governments – see Article 44. With regard to land, the draft
Provisional Constitution allows the Federal Government to develop a national land policy that provides for equity in the allocation of land and the use of its resources as a national standard but needs also to provide for the freedom of the Federal Member States to formulate their own regional land policies – see Article 43.
The protection of the environment is a priority duty of the Federal
Government, but the Federal Member States governments equally have a duty for the protection of the environment and the Federal Government needs to consult the Federal Member State governments when adopting the general environment policies of the country – see Article 45.

On an international level, disagreement between Kenya and Somalia over their maritime boundary has also created what one diplomat terms a “triangle of confusion” reaching across 120,000 square kilometres.
Kenyan troops defend the port of Kismayo, south of Mogadishu, notionally in support of the Mogadishu government, but Somali officials worry Kenya is keener on securing oil rights.
Lord Howard, who joined newly formed company Soma Oil and Gas as non-executive chairman only three months ago, signed the deal in Mogadishu, the shelled-out capital of Somalia where al-Qaeda-linked jihadists mount regular suicide bomb attacks, during his first visit there on Tuesday.

Interest in oil and gas exploration along the east African coast has surged after commercial quantities of oil were discovered in Kenya and Uganda along with gas in Tanzania and Mozambique further south sending many wildcat explorers into high-risk nearby prospective areas including Somalia.

“Because of the obvious reasons it’s very much underexplored,” Robert Sheppard, Soma’s chief executive who is also an adviser to BP, told the Financial Times after the signing, citing the many security issues.

His company, formed this year, will put armed guards on board ships to ward off Somali pirates who have previously commandeered vessels and demanded millions in ransom pay-offs.

The weak new government, the most representative in years, said earlier this year the broken state was too fragile to risk oil exploration because it was likely to pit different regions and warlords against each other. UN investigators also said in a report this year that inconsistencies in the legal framework regulating oil “risk exacerbating clan divisions and therefore threaten peace and security”.

Mr Sheppard said he believed his survey would instead increase stability by helping generate revenues. He said Soma will undertake a seismic survey costing “north of $20 million”, largely offshore in deep waters, with right to explore onshore as well.
As the UK, Norway, Turkey, Qatar and others vie to gain influence in Somalia’s oil-rich waters, analysts fear big-power oil politics could put its fragile recovery off course. A UN panel of experts cautioned in a report last month that oil could lead to conflict between rival groups – some of which have previously been allied to al-Qaeda-affiliated jihadists – and threaten peace.

“[Oil] companies should cease and desist negotiations with Somali authorities,” the UN panel said in last month’s report to the Security Council.

The Somali cabinet has already approved the Somali investment bill. "For obvious reasons, we have been starved for foreign investment for decades," Prime Minister Abdi Farah Shirdon said when signing the bill June 10th. "Anyone looking at our economy today knows how much we need it in all sectors. Investors need a secure legal framework and that is what we will provide."
Somali people expect lawmakers to debate the proposed law within the next month before the parliamentary recess. "It is a good opportunity if parliament passes it at a time when an increasing number of foreign investment proposals are reaching parliament.